| 2026-07-15 05:00 |
EWC |
Team Secret vs Sentinels |
0.469 |
0.515 |
-0.046 |
$37.82 on Sentinels |
7.6% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Team Secret
/ Sentinels |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Rest advantage |
+10.42 |
|
+0.004 |
| Player Elo rating |
+48.82 |
|
+0.393 |
| Momentum |
+0.67 |
|
+0.194 |
| Region strength |
-211.30 |
|
-0.750 |
| Lane matchups won |
+1.00 |
|
+0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Team Secret ) per game | -0.125 → 46.9% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Team Secret avg 1630
| Bie | 1749 | | Eddie | 1632 | | Hizto | 1594 | | Dire | 1594 | | Pun | 1579 |
Sentinels avg 1581
| Rahel | 1615 | | HamBak | 1604 | | Impact | 1597 | | DARKWINGS | 1547 | | huhi | 1540 |
|
| 2026-07-20 02:45 |
LCK |
DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX |
0.116 |
0.228 |
-0.112 |
$100.00 on BNK FEARX |
48.1% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward DN SOOPers
/ BNK FEARX |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
-0.20 |
|
-0.173 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.60 |
|
-0.155 |
| Rest advantage |
+0.10 |
|
+0.000 |
| Player Elo rating |
-105.42 |
|
-0.850 |
| Momentum |
-0.13 |
|
-0.039 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-3.00 |
|
-0.101 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(DN SOOPers) per game | -1.318 → 21.2% |
| Best-of-3 series adjustment (Polymarket US prices the series, not one game) → P(DN SOOPers wins series) | 11.6% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
DN SOOPers avg 1436
| deokdam | 1530 | | Peter | 1524 | | Clozer | 1441 | | Pyosik | 1391 | | DuDu | 1296 |
BNK FEARX avg 1542
| Clear | 1588 | | Kellin | 1578 | | VicLa | 1574 | | Raptor | 1485 | | Taeyoon | 1484 |
|
| 2026-07-20 04:15 |
LCK |
DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION |
0.412 |
0.297 |
+0.115 |
$78.28 on DN SOOPers |
15.7% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward DN SOOPers
/ HANJIN BRION |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.10 |
|
+0.087 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.20 |
|
-0.052 |
| Rest advantage |
+7.04 |
|
+0.003 |
| Player Elo rating |
-40.95 |
|
-0.330 |
| Momentum |
-0.10 |
|
-0.029 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-1.00 |
|
-0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(DN SOOPers) per game | -0.355 → 41.2% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
DN SOOPers avg 1436
| deokdam | 1530 | | Peter | 1524 | | Clozer | 1441 | | Pyosik | 1391 | | DuDu | 1296 |
HANJIN BRION avg 1477
| Casting | 1593 | | Loki | 1530 | | Namgung | 1430 | | GIDEON | 1419 | | Teddy | 1415 |
|
| 2026-07-20 05:00 |
LCK |
Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX |
0.371 |
0.343 |
+0.028 |
$16.52 on Kiwoom DRX |
3.3% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Kiwoom DRX
/ BNK FEARX |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.20 |
|
+0.173 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.40 |
|
-0.104 |
| Rest advantage |
+1.06 |
|
+0.000 |
| Player Elo rating |
-62.80 |
|
-0.506 |
| Momentum |
-0.20 |
|
-0.058 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-1.00 |
|
-0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Kiwoom DRX) per game | -0.528 → 37.1% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Kiwoom DRX avg 1479
| Willer | 1502 | | Jiwoo | 1497 | | Rich | 1481 | | Ucal | 1465 | | Andil | 1449 |
BNK FEARX avg 1542
| Clear | 1588 | | Kellin | 1578 | | VicLa | 1574 | | Raptor | 1485 | | Taeyoon | 1484 |
|
| 2026-07-20 05:45 |
LCK |
DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster |
0.174 |
0.168 |
+0.006 |
$0.89 on DN SOOPers |
0.2% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward DN SOOPers
/ KT Rolster |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
-0.40 |
|
-0.346 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.20 |
|
-0.052 |
| Rest advantage |
+13.98 |
|
+0.005 |
| Player Elo rating |
-146.95 |
|
-1.184 |
| Momentum |
+0.40 |
|
+0.116 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-3.00 |
|
-0.101 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(DN SOOPers) per game | -1.562 → 17.4% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
DN SOOPers avg 1436
| deokdam | 1530 | | Peter | 1524 | | Clozer | 1441 | | Pyosik | 1391 | | DuDu | 1296 |
KT Rolster avg 1583
| Cuzz | 1665 | | Bdd | 1636 | | PerfecT | 1611 | | Aiming | 1579 | | Effort | 1426 |
|
| 2026-07-20 06:30 |
LCK |
Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION |
0.692 |
0.436 |
+0.256 |
$100.00 on Kiwoom DRX |
44.7% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Kiwoom DRX
/ HANJIN BRION |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.50 |
|
+0.433 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.40 |
|
+0.104 |
| Rest advantage |
+8.01 |
|
+0.003 |
| Player Elo rating |
+1.67 |
|
+0.013 |
| Momentum |
-0.17 |
|
-0.048 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
+1.00 |
|
+0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Kiwoom DRX) per game | +0.539 → 63.1% |
| Best-of-3 series adjustment (Polymarket US prices the series, not one game) → P(Kiwoom DRX wins series) | 69.2% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Kiwoom DRX avg 1479
| Willer | 1502 | | Jiwoo | 1497 | | Rich | 1481 | | Ucal | 1465 | | Andil | 1449 |
HANJIN BRION avg 1477
| Casting | 1593 | | Loki | 1530 | | Namgung | 1430 | | GIDEON | 1419 | | Teddy | 1415 |
|
| 2026-07-20 08:00 |
LCK |
Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster |
0.271 |
0.276 |
-0.006 |
— |
— |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Kiwoom DRX
/ KT Rolster |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.60 |
|
-0.155 |
| Rest advantage |
+14.94 |
|
+0.006 |
| Player Elo rating |
-104.33 |
|
-0.841 |
| Momentum |
+0.33 |
|
+0.097 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-3.00 |
|
-0.101 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Kiwoom DRX) per game | -0.995 → 27.1% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Kiwoom DRX avg 1479
| Willer | 1502 | | Jiwoo | 1497 | | Rich | 1481 | | Ucal | 1465 | | Andil | 1449 |
KT Rolster avg 1583
| Cuzz | 1665 | | Bdd | 1636 | | PerfecT | 1611 | | Aiming | 1579 | | Effort | 1426 |
|
| 2026-07-21 02:00 |
LCK |
Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports |
0.660 |
0.468 |
+0.192 |
$100.00 on Gen.G |
35.1% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Gen.G
/ Hanwha Life Esports |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.20 |
|
+0.173 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.20 |
|
+0.052 |
| Rest advantage |
+27.05 |
|
+0.011 |
| Player Elo rating |
+68.25 |
|
+0.550 |
| Momentum |
-0.53 |
|
-0.155 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
+1.00 |
|
+0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Gen.G) per game | +0.664 → 66.0% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Gen.G avg 1755
| Chovy | 1868 | | Canyon | 1812 | | Ruler | 1765 | | Kiin | 1705 | | Duro | 1628 |
Hanwha Life Esports avg 1687
| Zeus | 1724 | | Gumayusi | 1706 | | Zeka | 1706 | | Delight | 1685 | | Kanavi | 1615 |
|
| 2026-07-21 02:45 |
LCK |
BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA |
0.332 |
0.520 |
-0.188 |
$100.00 on Dplus KIA |
35.2% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward BNK FEARX
/ Dplus KIA |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
-0.40 |
|
-0.346 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.20 |
|
+0.052 |
| Rest advantage |
+8.03 |
|
+0.003 |
| Player Elo rating |
-64.65 |
|
-0.521 |
| Momentum |
+0.73 |
|
+0.213 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-3.00 |
|
-0.101 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(BNK FEARX) per game | -0.701 → 33.2% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
BNK FEARX avg 1542
| Clear | 1588 | | Kellin | 1578 | | VicLa | 1574 | | Raptor | 1485 | | Taeyoon | 1484 |
Dplus KIA avg 1606
| ShowMaker | 1676 | | Siwoo | 1628 | | Lucid | 1601 | | Smash | 1578 | | Career | 1550 |
|
| 2026-07-21 03:30 |
LCK |
Gen.G vs T1 |
0.644 |
0.478 |
+0.167 |
$100.00 on Gen.G |
30.9% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Gen.G
/ T1 |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.20 |
|
+0.173 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Rest advantage |
+23.93 |
|
+0.009 |
| Player Elo rating |
+29.55 |
|
+0.238 |
| Momentum |
-0.20 |
|
-0.058 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
+1.00 |
|
+0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Gen.G) per game | +0.396 → 59.8% |
| Best-of-3 series adjustment (Polymarket US prices the series, not one game) → P(Gen.G wins series) | 64.4% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Gen.G avg 1755
| Chovy | 1868 | | Canyon | 1812 | | Ruler | 1765 | | Kiin | 1705 | | Duro | 1628 |
T1 avg 1726
| Doran | 1778 | | Faker | 1741 | | Keria | 1715 | | Peyz | 1702 | | Oner | 1693 |
|
| 2026-07-21 04:15 |
LCK |
KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA |
0.442 |
0.513 |
-0.071 |
$63.11 on Dplus KIA |
12.6% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward KT Rolster
/ Dplus KIA |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
-0.20 |
|
-0.173 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.40 |
|
+0.104 |
| Rest advantage |
-5.84 |
|
-0.002 |
| Player Elo rating |
-23.12 |
|
-0.186 |
| Momentum |
+0.20 |
|
+0.058 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-1.00 |
|
-0.034 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(KT Rolster) per game | -0.234 → 44.2% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
KT Rolster avg 1583
| Cuzz | 1665 | | Bdd | 1636 | | PerfecT | 1611 | | Aiming | 1579 | | Effort | 1426 |
Dplus KIA avg 1606
| ShowMaker | 1676 | | Siwoo | 1628 | | Lucid | 1601 | | Smash | 1578 | | Career | 1550 |
|
| 2026-07-21 05:00 |
LCK |
HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G |
0.045 |
0.089 |
-0.044 |
$100.00 on Gen.G |
48.1% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward HANJIN BRION
/ Gen.G |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
-0.70 |
|
-0.606 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
-0.60 |
|
-0.155 |
| Rest advantage |
+8.03 |
|
+0.003 |
| Player Elo rating |
-278.15 |
|
-2.241 |
| Momentum |
+0.37 |
|
+0.107 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
-5.00 |
|
-0.169 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(HANJIN BRION) per game | -3.062 → 4.5% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
HANJIN BRION avg 1477
| Casting | 1593 | | Loki | 1530 | | Namgung | 1430 | | GIDEON | 1419 | | Teddy | 1415 |
Gen.G avg 1755
| Chovy | 1868 | | Canyon | 1812 | | Ruler | 1765 | | Kiin | 1705 | | Duro | 1628 |
|
| 2026-07-21 05:45 |
MSI |
Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force |
0.911 |
0.075 |
+0.835 |
— |
— |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Hanwha Life Esports
/ Nongshim Red Force |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Rest advantage |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Player Elo rating |
+187.23 |
|
+1.509 |
| Momentum |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Region strength |
+230.91 |
|
+0.819 |
| Lane matchups won |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Hanwha Life Esports) per game | +2.328 → 91.1% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Hanwha Life Esports avg 1687
| Zeus | 1724 | | Gumayusi | 1706 | | Zeka | 1706 | | Delight | 1685 | | Kanavi | 1615 |
Nongshim Red Force
No roster on record.
|
| 2026-07-21 06:30 |
MSI |
T1 vs Kiwoom DRX |
0.976 |
0.797 |
+0.180 |
$100.00 on T1 |
88.1% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward T1
/ Kiwoom DRX |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.60 |
|
+0.155 |
| Rest advantage |
-39.96 |
|
-0.016 |
| Player Elo rating |
+246.94 |
|
+1.990 |
| Momentum |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
+5.00 |
|
+0.169 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(T1) per game | +2.299 → 90.8% |
| Best-of-3 series adjustment (Polymarket US prices the series, not one game) → P(T1 wins series) | 97.6% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
T1 avg 1726
| Doran | 1778 | | Faker | 1741 | | Keria | 1715 | | Peyz | 1702 | | Oner | 1693 |
Kiwoom DRX avg 1479
| Willer | 1502 | | Jiwoo | 1497 | | Rich | 1481 | | Ucal | 1465 | | Andil | 1449 |
|
| 2026-07-21 07:15 |
MSI |
Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers |
0.943 |
0.681 |
+0.261 |
$100.00 on Hanwha Life Esports |
81.6% |
| Feature | Raw diff (A − B) |
Pull toward Hanwha Life Esports
/ DN SOOPers |
Log-odds contribution |
| Recent win rate |
+0.40 |
|
+0.346 |
| Blue/red side win rate |
n/a (imputed) |
|
+0.000 |
| Head-to-head record |
+0.80 |
|
+0.207 |
| Rest advantage |
-42.12 |
|
-0.017 |
| Player Elo rating |
+250.85 |
|
+2.021 |
| Momentum |
+0.27 |
|
+0.078 |
| Region strength |
+0.00 |
|
+0.000 |
| Lane matchups won |
+5.00 |
|
+0.169 |
| Feature sum (log-odds) → implied P(Hanwha Life Esports) per game | +2.805 → 94.3% |
Side (blue/red) isn't known before a match, so the model's real ~53% historical
blue-side edge is averaged over both teams here rather than credited to whichever one happens to be
listed first — otherwise it would silently read as a home-side advantage for an arbitrary label.
Hanwha Life Esports avg 1687
| Zeus | 1724 | | Gumayusi | 1706 | | Zeka | 1706 | | Delight | 1685 | | Kanavi | 1615 |
DN SOOPers avg 1436
| deokdam | 1530 | | Peter | 1524 | | Clozer | 1441 | | Pyosik | 1391 | | DuDu | 1296 |
|